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Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Xiangyang, Hubei Province: Ten years after retirement, the loan amount was raised to 800,000 yuan. According to the news of "Voice of Xiangyang" on WeChat WeChat official account, recently, seven departments, including the Housing and Urban Renewal Bureau of Xiangyang City, Hubei Province, jointly issued "Several Measures for Continuously Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in the Central City" to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market in our city. This measure will be implemented as of December 10, 2024. The notice stipulates that the support of housing provident fund should be increased, and the maximum loan amount of housing provident fund should be raised to 800,000 yuan; For new citizens, young people, teachers, medical staff, families with many children, high-level talents to buy new commercial housing and "trade-in" and other housing provident funds, the maximum loan amount can be increased by 20% on the basis of the maximum amount. For those who buy high-quality houses and prefabricated houses, they can rise by 10% on the above basis. Deposited employees have been paid in full for five consecutive years, and the loan period can be extended to 10 years after retirement, and the longest loan period shall not exceed 30 years. Flexible employees who have paid the housing provident fund in full for more than 6 months (inclusive) may apply for housing provident fund loans.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.

At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures fell more and rose less. The European line of container transportation rose by over 5%, while alumina, SC crude oil and Shanghai nickel rose by over 1%. In terms of decline, coke, No.20 glue and caustic soda fell by more than 2%, while glass, coking coal, Shanghai Bank, hot coil, rubber and BR rubber fell by more than 1%.Turkish regulators will block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges.Beijing officially launched the online game boutique publishing project. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Meeting held on December 13th, Beijing launched the online game boutique publishing project. The online game boutique publishing project combines the functional orientation of the capital, highlights the characteristics of the capital, excavates the cultural elements of Beijing, focuses on five key directions, implements five supporting mechanisms to excavate and incubate the boutique, and guides and drives the high-quality development of Beijing's game industry. Five key directions, namely, spreading positive mainstream values, carrying forward the spirit of Chinese culture, showing the style of the capital era, highlighting the vitality of scientific and technological innovation, and having the potential for international communication. Five supporting mechanisms will be implemented for the game works and enterprises selected for the top-quality game publishing project in Beijing, namely, priority recommendation, whole-process incubation, copyright protection, platform service and talent guarantee mechanism, so as to increase support for the innovative creation of top-quality games. (beijing communication radio)

Xiangyang, Hubei Province: Ten years after retirement, the loan amount was raised to 800,000 yuan. According to the news of "Voice of Xiangyang" on WeChat WeChat official account, recently, seven departments, including the Housing and Urban Renewal Bureau of Xiangyang City, Hubei Province, jointly issued "Several Measures for Continuously Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in the Central City" to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market in our city. This measure will be implemented as of December 10, 2024. The notice stipulates that the support of housing provident fund should be increased, and the maximum loan amount of housing provident fund should be raised to 800,000 yuan; For new citizens, young people, teachers, medical staff, families with many children, high-level talents to buy new commercial housing and "trade-in" and other housing provident funds, the maximum loan amount can be increased by 20% on the basis of the maximum amount. For those who buy high-quality houses and prefabricated houses, they can rise by 10% on the above basis. Deposited employees have been paid in full for five consecutive years, and the loan period can be extended to 10 years after retirement, and the longest loan period shall not exceed 30 years. Flexible employees who have paid the housing provident fund in full for more than 6 months (inclusive) may apply for housing provident fund loans.Afternoon comment: index adjustment The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.49% in half a day. Bean bag concept stocks were strong in early trading, and the index was collectively adjusted in early trading. The three major stock indexes all fell by more than 1%. In terms of sectors, the concept stocks of bean bags were strong in early trading, and the collective daily limit of three-dimensional communication, Beiwei Technology, Global Printing, and Zhewen Internet; The concept of ice and snow industry continued its upward trend. Jingxue energy-saving 20cm daily limit, iceberg cold and hot, snowman shares and other daily limit closures; The game e-sports sector is active, and the daily limit of Zhewen Internet and Electric Soul Network is up; Real estate stocks continued to adjust, and Hefei Urban Construction and Gorgeous Family were among the top losers. Food, liquor and other consumer sectors fell into a callback, and Yiming food fell to a limit; Insurance stocks weakened collectively, led by China Life Insurance. Overall, individual stocks showed a general decline trend, with more than 4,100 stocks falling. On the disk, the Aauto Quicker concept, short play games and cultural media sectors were among the top gainers, while the insurance, liquor and real estate sectors were among the top losers.According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.